Politics: Why Obama might be the Winner--There are 8 strong reasons behind it

Thursday, October 30, 2008

Well everyone knows that Barack Obama holds a very strong position in his presidential election run than the Republican John McCain.There are 8 strong reasons Barack Obama will however win handily.

1.Obama's supporters are more energized.

Obama draws massive crowds wherever he goes and has energized young and first-time voters in a way that will astonish pollsters relying on traditional turnout models. Obama supporters see their votes as an exciting chance to create a brighter future.

2.Obama has a superior ground game.
Obama is better controlled at the neighborhood level than any Democratic presidential candidate in history.His campaign is also making milestone use of technology—using e-mail, text messages and social-networking sites to keep in touch with supporters and recommend them to the polls.

3. Obama has a superior air game.
Obama is so flush with cash that he's able to saturate TV and radio in key markets at the end of the campaign with ads that counter McCain's criticisms of him and initiate attacks on McCain.It's not just the money but the strength of mind to respond rapidly and passionately inside the space of a single news cycle.

4. McCain has lost his brand.
Yes, he's a unstable man running in sensitive times under the banner of troubled party. But he started off with the image of a bipartisan straight-shooter with a obvious, selfless sense of proportion.Now that McCain's finally settled on conservative tax policy as his theme down the stretch, his campaign is so desperate for traction that it's going schoolyard.

5. Palin is turning out to be the disasta' from Alaska
I'm confident historians will rank McCain's decision to choose a rookie governor from a low-population state to be his running mate as his major miscalculation. Palin's youth, spunkiness and old-fashioned bona fides fired up the Republican base, sure. But her unawareness, on display in early TV interviews, embarrassed the rest of us, and polls now show her as a distinct drag on the ticket.

6. Obama hasn't lost his cool.
Historians will also note the textbook discipline of the Obama campaign, which stuck to a set of fairly simple "change" messages while the McCain campaign kept trying out new themes. This control has been mirrored by Obama's own equanimity, particularly during the debates in which he looked and sounded far more presidential than the nervous, simpering McCain.

7. McCain hasn't been able to fight the Bush head winds.
No matter how many times McCain said "maverick," he still couldn't create adequate distance from the deeply disliked president to make the sale to voters hungering for new leadership.

8.Obama has been lucky.
Things have been fairly quiet all year on the terror and national security fronts—McCain's strengths. And the chief crisis of the campaign season—the economic meltdown—not only played into one of Obama's perceived strong suits, it also caused McCain to appear impulsive and indecisive in the face of a sudden challenge.

This is not a mock or an assurance, but is expected that luck to hold at least through Tuesday night.




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